Big Slick Gets Trendy!
New for 2008!
Last year in 2007, I tried to set the betting line, as well as pick which order that the players will hit the rails, which was a monumental task. This year, my intentions are to base the picks on trends. To study the stats and determine whose doing well, poorly, or not much at all leading into the month, and based on that, make my decision about who I believe is on the biggest up-trend and has the best chance to win!
This means that the order that I place the players in, is the order of who I feel has the most momentum coming into this month therefore the most likely to win, and the line will be set to reflect this. The person in the #1 spot will obviously be my pick to take it all, that doesn't mean that he will, just that the trends indicated that to me.
You will see one of
three symbols by your name indicating whether your stock in the poker world is
rising
, falling
,
or it's just holding steady
, with my explanation
of why I feel this way!
Again this year, Slicks Picks will be a forum for friendly wagering although this is strictly for fun and any actual betting that may occur, neither Slick, nor this web site takes any responsibility! That being said, who wants to bet?
I will be setting the betting line for many of our players. I will also set the “Over/Under”. Understand, that setting an “Over/Under” will be difficult due to player nonparticipation. Example: if I set the “Over/Under” on a player at 8, this means that if you guess the over, the player must finish 7th or higher and if you guess the under, he must finish 9th or lower… but if only 10 players show up that month, the odds of winning the over are greatly increased. But since this is for fun anyhow, oh well!
P.S. Understand that the line is the odds of winning and nothing else. Second place doesn’t mean Jack!
Good luck everyone! Don’t forget about parlays!
October 2008
Meaty: (2007 Second
place): [Line = 3 to 1] – [O/U = 4]
1st place
No question about it! He is making his annual end of the year comeback, having earned 32 points in the last three tournaments that he has played with a 3.33 average finish placement.
Popeye: [Line = 4 to
1] – [O/U = 4]
2nd place
Never far from the top is Popeye who is leading overall and will be very hard to catch by years end. He boasts a 4.33 average placement in the last three tournaments played. His average for the year is 3.50. Not a big slide but can you keep this pace forever?
Turtle: [Line = 4 to
1] – [O/U = 5]
3rd place
Even with a less than spectacular September, he still has the 3rd best average over the last three… well sort of! He is tied for 3rd with a 5.00 average.
Big Slick (2006, 2007
Tour Champion): [Line = 5 to 1] – [O/U = 5]
4th place
Believe it or not, Slick is tied with Turtle over the last three months and has earned 24 points along the way. The early part of the year was so crippling that Slick has no shot of taking home some hardware at years end, but the spoiler role is an interesting spot to be in.
Marshal: [Line = 5 to
1] – [O/U = 6]
5th place
He continues to battle on with a 5.33 average over the last three and a 5.38 average for the year. Consistent play and with consistent finishes. He currently sits in 4th over-all in the tour ranking. Keep in mind, we start dropping tournaments this month, so things will change!
El Guapo: [Line = 6 to
1] – [O/U = 6]
6th place
September killed him, but he still has a respectable 5.67 average for the last three played and 22 point to show for it. His average for the year is 5.33, so he is sliding a bit, but that bad beat last month was the reason, so I don’t put much weight into it.
UniBobber (2004, 2005
Tour Champion): [Line = 6 to 1] – [O/U = 7]
7th place
A player on the up swing is Spongey! Over the last three he has a 5.67 average and a 6.43 average over-all. He needs a big surge in these last months to earn some year-end hardware! Can he do it? He has before.
Zug
: [Line = 7 to 1] – [O/U = 7]
8th place
Holding a 6.00 average for the last three is Zug-a-dub-dub. He has also been fairly consistent throughout the year with a 6.29 over-all.
The Saw: [Line = 7 to
1] – [O/U = 8]
9th place
What we are starting to see is consistent numbers over a three month period vs. throughout the year. The Saw holds a 7.67 average for the last three, and a 7.89 for the year. Many players have the same scenario!
Sandy Cheeks (2005
Tour runner up): [Line = 8 to 1] – [O/U = 8]
10th place
She made the final five, and got booted on the bubble, but that is a better result than she had been getting. She is also very similar over a three month span and the whole year… in fact, she holds the same for both, an 8.00 average.
Cha Cha: [Line = 8 to
1] – [O/U = 8]
11th place
Cha Cha has struggled like many of us throughout the year and is playing the spoiler role at this point. His over-all average is 8.22 for the year. He has slipped a bit in recent month and has a 8.67 over the last three.
“E”:
[Line = 9 to 1] – [O/U = 8]
12th place
She has only 4 tournaments with the SBPT so her average is close. She has a 10th place average in her career with the SBPT.
Riverisa: [Line = 9 to
1] – [O/U = 8]
13th place
Over the last three she has an 11.0 average and for the year, she has an 11.5 average finish placement.
Slicks Past Picks
June 08