"What Are The Odds?"
This Months Query:
What are the odds that a player who reloads his entire stack during the first hour, goes on to win the tournament?
The reason I have chosen this WATO's is that both of my (Big Slick's) tournament wins this year came on the heels of a complete re-buy.
This of course, is a speculation wager. What I mean by that is, I can only guess who or how many complete re-buys there will be during the first hour to base the "line" on. But based on what I've seen over the years is that 1-3 players completely reload during this re-buy period. I would say an average of 2.
So if we have roughly 14 players attending and 2 of them re-buy an entire stack (2/14) and only 1 of the 14 players can win (1/14), as flawed as it may be, it seems to me to be a pretty easy calculation which may look like this: 1/14 x 2/14 = 2/196 or 1/98 for a 98 to 1 shot.
I will offer this @ 90 to 1 for anyone interested.
Good luck everyone! Make me pay for my ignorance!
Thanks For Playing At Big Slicks Sports Book!
Standard wagers from previous WATO's:
A married couple placing 1st & 2nd in this tournament: 20 to 1
Heads up Battle (naming heads up players): 100 to 1 ($.25 max)
Title and Headhunter Award: 20 to 1
Headhunter award: 9 t0 1
Headhunter award winner does not place 1st thru 4th: 8 to 1
Win, Place, Show: 1500 t0 1 (1 cent max)
First, Second, Third, Out: 900 to 1 (1 cent max)
3rd times a charm (3 straight victories): 1000 t0 1 ($.05 max)
Picking a player to take home a souvenir chip: 2 to 1
1st thru 4th place, are all women: 75 to 1
1st thru 4th place, are all men: 6 to 1
Previous What Are The Odds: